A couple changes: I bumped up the peak wind gust across the board by 5mph. With how big this stom is now, the rainbands may not support higher sustained wind across the board (though there…
Tag: 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season
8/28/21 7PM Hurricane Ida update: a county-by-county breakdown for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama
Looking at the latest data, the NHC still hasn’t nudged things too far back to the east yet. Even though, Hurricane Ida continues to trek more northerly that true northwesterly. This is still slated to…
8/28/21 2PM Hurricane Ida update – perhaps a wiggle to the east
hurricane Ida is now a Category 2 Hurricane as it continues to drift northwest around 15mph – currently at 16mph. This is slightly faster (by 1-2mph) than we thought yesterday. The storm is likely just…
Read more of 8/28/21 2PM Hurricane Ida update – perhaps a wiggle to the east
8/28/21 9AM Hurricane Ida county-by-county update for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama
A real quick note on these county-by-county breakdowns. I’ve had some requests for coastal counties and some farther inland. I wish I could get them all. But, I have to draw a line somewhere. If…
8/28/21 8AM Hurricane Ida Update: Rapid Intensification underway
Taking a look at the forecast information from the National Hurricane Center as well as satellite data, and there is little doubt that Hurricane Ida has begun to rapidly intensify this morning. Current Observations LOCATION…24.4N…
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8/28/21 10PM Hurricane Ida update
The latest from the National Hurricane Center still has Hurricane Ida set to Rapidly Intensify as it traverses the Gulf of Mexico and moves toward the Louisiana coastline. Landfall is anticipated on Sunday afternoon /…
8/27/21 10PM Hurricane Ida update: forecast details and discussion – exploring the ifs and maybes of the forecast
This isn’t going to be the typical “will it rain at my house” forecast. If you’re looking for a county-by-county breakdown of what to expect from Hurricane Ida, make sure to check out that post…
8/27/21 7PM Hurricane Ida update – a county-by-county breakdown for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama
Let me start by saying that this forecast may change. And is not set in stone. I really encourage everyone to check back every – at least! – 12 hours for an update until landfall…
8/26/21 Tropical Update: Tropical Depression 9 and what it means for the Gulf Coast
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT LOCATION…16.9N 79.2WABOUT 115 MI…180 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICAABOUT 210 MI…340 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMANMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005…
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8/14/21: Fred ain’t dead yet – Mississippi/Alabama in the Forecast Cone
The Tropical Storm formerly known as Fred couldn’t have taken a more difficult path to the Gulf of Mexico. After waltzing through the Caribbean like Sideshow Bob moves through a field of rakes, it decided…
Read more of 8/14/21: Fred ain’t dead yet – Mississippi/Alabama in the Forecast Cone