8/3/24 1015p Update – Tropical Storm Debby sliding north, with Rapid Intensification potential

Tropical Storm Debbie now has wind of 45mph. And it continues to organize. Here is the latest from the NHC: Looking at the infrared imagery tonight, Debby looks messy, but is organizing. And looks markedly…

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8/3/24 1145a Tropical Brief on Tropical Depression Four (eventual Debby) – further moves west possible

THERE’S A NEWER POST! GET THE LATEST UPDATE ON TROPICAL STORM DEBBIE HERE Summarizing the NHC: Tropical Depression Four is getting more organized, with a better-defined center over western Cuba and storm bands forming in…

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8/2/24 1130p Update — Invest97L, now Tropical Depression 4, track shifts west (as anticipated)

THERE’S A NEWER POST! GET THE LATEST UPDATE ON TROPICAL STORM DEBBIE HERE About 24 hours ago I mentioned that it would be about 24 to 36 hours before we started to get good model…

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7/12/24 230p Tropical Update – Area of interest near Carolinas with quiet Atlantic

Looking at the big picture, we have a few areas to monitor, with no real imminent threat for something to develop. The area of lower pressure off the Georgia coastline doesn’t really appear to be…

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6/30/24 245p Update – Hurricane Beryl Update, and what it means for the Gulf Coast

Hurricane Beryl is now a Category 4 Hurricane. And it is still about five days away from being near the Gulf of Mexico. The system went through some robust Rapid Intensification overnight last night and…

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Tropical Outlook for 6/28/24: Three areas of disturbances to watch out for

Even though it’s only June, we currently have 3 areas of disturbances in the Atlantic basin. The first disturbance area is located in the western part of the Gulf of Mexico and has a 30%…

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6/27/24 – Tropical Forecast: Two new areas to look out for next week.

The start of this hurricane season has been nothing short of active, with this trend continuing with two areas of interest in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean. While it is still early to…

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Things getting more active this week in Caribbean: Tropical Weather Discussion – 6/9/24

Looking at the Big Picture of the tropics, we have a pretty active, but inconsequential setup for the next 24 hours. And truly the next three days. The general flow in the atmosphere across the…

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6/6/24 – Tropical Forecast: No activity this weekend, while watching next week

Everything remains calm through the weekend and early next week, but some models are suggesting some development in the Gulf of Mexico towards the end of next week. The majority of the Atlantic Ocean remains…

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