Follow-up for Next Week’s Heavy Rain – Forecast for MS/LA/AL 1/21/24

This will be a discussion on some observations I’ve made on the medium range models looking at the rainfall and the duration of the event. First of all, let’s look at the two flagship models,…

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Below average temperatures with more rain on its way: Southeast Forecast – 8/9/22

Hello everyone, the main story for the southeast will be more rounds of thunderstorms will appear in the next few days. There will be an approaching stationary cold front will be coming down near the…

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Hot and dry out west with showers and cooler temperatures to the east: Southeast Weather Forecast- 7/10/22

Hello all and happy Sunday! I hope the weekend has been well and that the heat hasn’t caused too many issues over the past week. Today we will look at a 3-day southeast forecast to…

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Widespread Rain coming into the Southeast and Texas: Southeast Weather Forecast – 7/01/22

Hello everybody, there will be an increase of precipitation and thunderstorms as the low-pressure system from Gulf of Mexico is slowly moving up north in the Southeast states. It will remain near the coastal states…

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SPC expands severe risk for Friday & Saturday across South

The Storm Prediction Center continues to monitor a two-punch system on Friday afternoon, evening and into the overnight hours across parts of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Alabama. As of now, this two-punch system looks…

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Severe weather possible for Gulf Coast and Southeast March 3rd/4th

All that “In like a lion, out like a lamb” or vice-versa talk about March, as a scientist, always makes me cringe. Because it is based on subjective opinion and not objective analysis. That leaves…

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Another week, another round of severe weather possible for Gulf Coast

via GIPHY I think this GIF was my reaction to opening up the SPC page this morning. Alex Puckett, a great meteorologist up in Huntsville sent me a message via facebook sharing his displeasure via…

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Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi brace for severe weather outbreak

Their words, not mine. That said, severe weather is looking more and more likely at this point for portions of Louisiana, Arkansas and Mississippi. The change? Not much has changed in the model data –…

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Gulf Coast Sat/Sun Severe weather: Now we can talk specifics…

FRIDAY 12:30PM UPDATE: It looks like the Storm Prediction Center is seeing similar things from the same data I show below and came to a similar consensus. The SPC has extended the Enhanced Risk area…

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Storm Prediction Center increases sections of Louisiana, Arkansas and Mississippi to Moderate Risk

From the SPC: …THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EAST TEXAS ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS INTO WEST-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI… …SUMMARY… Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of east Texas,…

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