What started with “Hail Season” ended with disproving another ‘Old Wives Tale’ – sorry!

In my never-ending quest to learn everything I can about South Mississippi weather, I wanted to see if March was in fact “hail season” as I’ve dubbed it, or if it just felt like a…

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Revisiting Gulf of Mexico water temperatures impact on SE severe weather potential ahead of next week’s potential threat

There is another threat for severe weather coming up this next week, but so far deterministic model guidance has been slow to develop any specific outcomes that feature a potent severe weather setup while the…

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NYE Severe threat timeline continues to hold

Radar coverage continues to show rain moving through the area and, so far, it remains as just regular rain and thunder. So far the severe weather threat hasn’t fully materialized for our area, which is…

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SPC monitoring parts of Louisiana, Mississippi for Watch

Things are just starting to pick up for the region. Latest from the SPC is that they are monitoring just west of our area (including perhaps some of our western counties – for a potential…

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12/31/20 9a update: Morning model guidance holding, forecast becoming more certain

There wasn’t much of a change between the overnight and mid morning data. That is good news. It means the model guidance is finally getting a good handle on things. Or it gave up. Ha!…

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12/31 early AM update: Severe weather potential remains for later today across Gulf Coast region

2020 going out with a bang, so to speak. Would you expect any less? Severe weather remains a possibility for later today across east Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle. It still looks…

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New data gives more insight to NYE severe risk for Gulf Coast

As a professor, this is the type of weather event that I would probably use on a test. Because at first glance, and on paper, it looks like a guarantee for some severe weather. But…

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It’ll be a New Year’s Thunderstormin’ Eve for northern Gulf Coast

Now that we are getting to be about 72-96 hours out, data is starting to come into better agreement about the timeline and threats for the severe weather threat on New Year’s Eve for the…

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Year End severe weather threat for Gulf Coast may last two days

This may be a multi-day event for some places. That means one round of storms one day, and then perhaps another round of storms in the same spo the next day.

Karrie Meter now 2-for-2 this summer, 3-for-3 unlikely

Tuesday I wrote about trying out the Karrie Meter on the storms for Wednesday. Turned out alright. A reminder, the Karrie Meter looked like this: And here is a look at the number of Severe…

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