8/27/21 10PM Hurricane Ida update: forecast details and discussion – exploring the ifs and maybes of the forecast

This isn’t going to be the typical “will it rain at my house” forecast. If you’re looking for a county-by-county breakdown of what to expect from Hurricane Ida, make sure to check out that post…

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8/27/21 7PM Hurricane Ida update – a county-by-county breakdown for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama

Let me start by saying that this forecast may change. And is not set in stone. I really encourage everyone to check back every – at least! – 12 hours for an update until landfall…

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Hype-free: Two tropical storms headed into the Gulf – what we know, don’t know, can’t know, and want to know

As most of you guys know,I never claim to have all of the answers. But, I know there are a TON of questions floating around with these two storms and – with the reasonable rarity…

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Tropical Storm Cristobal moves north while strengthening over land, takes aim at Louisiana

via GIPHY Tropical Storm Cristobal finally mad the turn north and got a pretty decent kick, too. As of the morning advisory, it was moving at 12mph. The Forecast takes it north across the Gulf…

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An economists statistical rebuttal to seasonal hurricane forecasts

I received an email the other day from Ty Black, a former University of Southern Mississippi professor in Economics, regarding seasonal hurricane predictions. On the heels of the Colorado State seasonal prediction, national media outlets…

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