Gulf Coast wintry precip mess: Finally some answers

Keyword: Some. Looking through a lot of the (more reliable) data this morning, and chatting with a few of my super-smart meteorological colleagues, has started to clarify a lot of what may – or may…

Read more of Gulf Coast wintry precip mess: Finally some answers

Starting to get a better idea about the incoming cold air for Gulf Coast

I know everyone wants a Final Answer right now about what to expect for this weekend, but sadly, there is no final answer to give. Recall last week, I mentioned that trying to forecast this…

Read more of Starting to get a better idea about the incoming cold air for Gulf Coast

Using the “Handy ‘Will it snow’ guide for the South” to figure out if you see snow

Snow is still in the forecast for some areas in the South Sunday/ Monday. So, I figure it is time for another round of everyone’s favorite game… (read this like the people scream “Wheel! Of!…

Read more of Using the “Handy ‘Will it snow’ guide for the South” to figure out if you see snow

NYE Severe threat timeline continues to hold

Radar coverage continues to show rain moving through the area and, so far, it remains as just regular rain and thunder. So far the severe weather threat hasn’t fully materialized for our area, which is…

Read more of NYE Severe threat timeline continues to hold

SPC monitoring parts of Louisiana, Mississippi for Watch

Things are just starting to pick up for the region. Latest from the SPC is that they are monitoring just west of our area (including perhaps some of our western counties – for a potential…

Read more of SPC monitoring parts of Louisiana, Mississippi for Watch

12/31/20 9a update: Morning model guidance holding, forecast becoming more certain

There wasn’t much of a change between the overnight and mid morning data. That is good news. It means the model guidance is finally getting a good handle on things. Or it gave up. Ha!…

Read more of 12/31/20 9a update: Morning model guidance holding, forecast becoming more certain

12/31 early AM update: Severe weather potential remains for later today across Gulf Coast region

2020 going out with a bang, so to speak. Would you expect any less? Severe weather remains a possibility for later today across east Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle. It still looks…

Read more of 12/31 early AM update: Severe weather potential remains for later today across Gulf Coast region

12/30 update: Gulf Coast faces severe risk NYE

Not much has changed regarding the potential for severe weather on New Year’s Eve. Instead, we are starting to get a better idea about how the severe weather threat will shake out as we are…

Read more of 12/30 update: Gulf Coast faces severe risk NYE

New data gives more insight to NYE severe risk for Gulf Coast

As a professor, this is the type of weather event that I would probably use on a test. Because at first glance, and on paper, it looks like a guarantee for some severe weather. But…

Read more of New data gives more insight to NYE severe risk for Gulf Coast

It’ll be a New Year’s Thunderstormin’ Eve for northern Gulf Coast

Now that we are getting to be about 72-96 hours out, data is starting to come into better agreement about the timeline and threats for the severe weather threat on New Year’s Eve for the…

Read more of It’ll be a New Year’s Thunderstormin’ Eve for northern Gulf Coast