The colder Gulf Coast (LaMsAl) forecast update

I’m finally getting to a point where I feel comfortable sticking a flag in the sand and make some sort of declaration about the weather for the upcoming weekend and into next week. That said,…

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Starting to get a better idea about the incoming cold air for Gulf Coast

I know everyone wants a Final Answer right now about what to expect for this weekend, but sadly, there is no final answer to give. Recall last week, I mentioned that trying to forecast this…

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Remember that “Huge Arctic Blast” I kept saying, “Let’s wait and see” about?

Well, we are getting a better look at it, and once again a conservative approach to forecasting seems to be winning. There is a reason I don’t go ‘full boar’ with these cold weather outbreaks…

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Revisiting Gulf of Mexico water temperatures impact on SE severe weather potential ahead of next week’s potential threat

There is another threat for severe weather coming up this next week, but so far deterministic model guidance has been slow to develop any specific outcomes that feature a potent severe weather setup while the…

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Another chance for flurries for southern Mississippi? Already? Sort of.

I wouldn’t bet the farm, but there is some evidence within the model guidance that suggests another round of some flurries and sleet may be possible on Wednesday morning. Much like this last time, accumulations…

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1/10/21 1030p Update: NWS advisories expanded, precip on radar, forecast updated

Here is a quick update on the forecast for tonight and into tomorrow morning with regard to the threat for some wintry precipitation to mix in with the rain. So far things are playing out…

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1/10/21 Update: South Mississippi snowfall chances continue to climb, accumulating snow looking more possible, too

It is always a wild ride when trying to track the potential for snowfall in the south. The slightest wobble can really change things. And things tend to wobble back and forth almost every three…

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Using the “Handy ‘Will it snow’ guide for the South” to figure out if you see snow

Snow is still in the forecast for some areas in the South Sunday/ Monday. So, I figure it is time for another round of everyone’s favorite game… (read this like the people scream “Wheel! Of!…

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History supports outside shot for South Mississippi snow

Looking back through the records, I wanted to find if there were any past events that looked like the current one coming up on Sunday and into Monday. And for that, I turn to the…

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Sunday/Monday looks like cold rain for Pine Belt, snow chances meager but thundersleet possible

Bad news, snow lovers. This event isn’t likely for you. So far the data coming in continues to suggest the changeover from rain to snow will occur near I-20. That means most of southern Mississippi…

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