6/26/24 – Tropical Outlook: Invest 94L & 95L; what we know as of now…

It’s been interesting having things to talk about in the tropics as we are only a few weeks into hurricane season. Invest 94L has been over the Caribbean Sea for a couple of days now…

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Review: What is the “cone of uncertainty” and how can we explain it better?

Happy Friday, everyone! Now that hurricane season has begun, it is important to properly understand how the “cone of uncertainty” works by the National Hurricane Center. I was reading through this article that I thought…

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Wx Info: Explaining the Forecast Cone from the National Hurricane Center

A lot of times during Hurricane Season a lot of the buzz is around the model data. Social media is plastered with images of operational model output, spaghetti models and intensity guidance. But once a…

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8/26/21 Tropical Update: Tropical Depression 9 and what it means for the Gulf Coast

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT LOCATION…16.9N 79.2WABOUT 115 MI…180 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICAABOUT 210 MI…340 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMANMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005…

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NHC maintains ‘above-normal’ Hurricane Season prediction for 2021 season

The National Hurricane Center maintains the potential for an above-average Hurricane season. The NHC released the mid-season update today. “After a record-setting start, the Atlantic 2021 hurricane season does not show any signs of relenting…

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NOAA predicts another active hurricane season

The Climate Prediction Center released their seasonal prediction today, and to noone’s suprise it included an above-average forecast. The official prediction is: Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season. The CPC calls for 13 to 20 named storms…

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NHC to issue Tropical Outlooks two weeks earlier

The National Hurricane Center announced March 2, 2021 that Tropical Weather Outlooks will now begin on May 15th for the Atlantic Hurricane season. From the NHC: Public Information Statement NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL…

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8PM Update: Breaking down Delta’s impacts on So. Mississippi towns

Since so many of you guys appreciated my efforts earlier, I wanted to offer a quick update for everyone. Here is another long list of towns int eh area along with a forecast for each…

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10/08/20 4PM NHC Update: Delta regains “Major Hurricane” strength

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…24.8N 93.4W ABOUT 345 MI…555 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…959 MB…28.32 INCHES FORECAST…

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10/8/20 Early AM Update: Hurricane Delta continues strengthening, moving toward Gulf Coast

Hurricane Delta is in, what I’ve often called, a “primo environment.” That is to say, it has warm water and low shear, so it is free to organize and strengthen without predictable physics getting in…

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