10/27/22 430p update: Severe weather threat increasing slightly for Saturday

The last 12 hours of model guidance have seen a reasonable increase in pre-frontal changes. The gap in higher dewpoint values out in the Gulf has shrunk down to almost nothing in the Gulf, and…

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A quagmire of a storm threat today: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast 10/25/22

Showers and storms will be possible today, with the potential for a few severe storms – but that doesn’t mean everyone will definitely see rain. This is a bit of a quagmire of a storm…

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Mild & breezy today, severe weather possible tomorrow: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast 10/24/22

Today looks mild and a little breezy. Severe weather is back in the forecast for tomorrow – it must be Fall. Appropriate on the heels of Fall Severe Weather Awareness Week. The Storm Prediction Center…

Read more of Mild & breezy today, severe weather possible tomorrow: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast 10/24/22

A quick note on the 8/24/22 Hattiesburg tornado

Yes, there was a tornado. And, in this case, the video probably really helped the National weather Service identify it. The NWS in Jackson has rated this an EF-0 tornado that was on the ground…

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Severe Weather and Flood Risk Highlights the Main Story on Sunday: CONUS Weather Forecast – 8/21/22

Sunday will be another active weather day across the country with varying threats. Severe weather is expected across the Ohio Valley as a surface cold front pushes southeastward. Heavy rainfall will cover the Southern Plains…

Read more of Severe Weather and Flood Risk Highlights the Main Story on Sunday: CONUS Weather Forecast – 8/21/22

Thunderstorms Continue Towards the Weekend with Severe and Flooding Threats: Coastal MS/LA/AL Weather Forecast – 8/18/22

It is shaping up to be a rather wet back half of the week as scattered thunderstorms can be expected through the weekend. An upper-level trough is working its was eastward with a shortwave dropping…

Read more of Thunderstorms Continue Towards the Weekend with Severe and Flooding Threats: Coastal MS/LA/AL Weather Forecast – 8/18/22

Extreme Heat for the Northwest as Monsoon Season Continues for the Southwest: CONUS Weather Forecast – 7/28/22

There exists a wide range of weather across the lower 48 for the next few days. The Northwest will see near record heat as temperatures soar past 100F while the Southwest begins the peak of…

Read more of Extreme Heat for the Northwest as Monsoon Season Continues for the Southwest: CONUS Weather Forecast – 7/28/22

More Storms in the Upper Midwest, Hotter for the Southern US: CONUS Weather Forecast- 7/22/22

Looking at the next 5 days, I have the average 500 mb height anomaly map over the whole US. This does a good job of painting broad specifics. Looking very broadly, we can see a…

Read more of More Storms in the Upper Midwest, Hotter for the Southern US: CONUS Weather Forecast- 7/22/22

Storms possible tonight, some severe, as we continue to stay quite warm: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 7/21/22

There will be a chance for storms during the next 24 hours but it may not actually arrive until we get into the overnight hours. The map above shows storms at midnight tonight moving south…

Read more of Storms possible tonight, some severe, as we continue to stay quite warm: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 7/21/22

Severe Weather Possible Thursday Before a Drier, Hotter Weekend: SE Mississippi / SW Alabama Weather Forecast – 7/20/22

Happy Wednesday everyone! I hope the work week is going well as we reach midweek. Weather wise, we are watching the risk for severe weather on Thursday and higher temperatures into the weekend. For Wednesday…

Read more of Severe Weather Possible Thursday Before a Drier, Hotter Weekend: SE Mississippi / SW Alabama Weather Forecast – 7/20/22