WPC watching flash flooding potential for Louisiana, Mississippi

Latest from the WPC: SUMMARY…FLASH FLOODING THREAT IS RATCHETING DOWN A NOTCH FROM EXTREME LEVELS AS FOCUS OF HVY RAIN SHIFTS SOUTHWARD. STILL HVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY THROUGH THE EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS.…

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Timeline: Severe threat overnight for south Mississippi

As a deepening area of low pressure moves by from Texas to Tennessee, it will open the atmosphere aloft leading to showers and storms across eastern Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. This discussion is specifically…

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Severe weather double-shot for southern Mississippi possible, not likely

Looking at the latest model guidance, a lot of the thought is that a robust atmospheric setup may lead to two rounds of severe weather for parts of Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. For southern Mississippi,…

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Forecast update on Slight Risk for South Mississippi

Good (late) evening, everyone. There is still the opportunity for severe weather tomorrow for south Mississippi. A few things have changed, but the timing remains about the same. Changes Some threats have remained the same,…

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Slight Risk for severe weather extended into South Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center is having server issues, but has included parts of the Pine Belt and southern Mississippi in the Slight Risk for severe weather. Other sections have been added to the Marginal Risk,…

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South Mississippi braces for more severe weather

As if the January 21st event wasn’t enough, Mother Nature is preparing to send another round of storms through south Mississippi. Thankfully, this time doesn’t look as bad. The Setup As an area of low…

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WPC watching Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama for flooding

SUMMARY…STRONG SYNOPTIC FORCING AND STRONG MST FLUX THOUGH PROGRESSIVE NATURE MAY POSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING THREAT FOR TRAINING CONVECTION. DISCUSSION…GOES-E WV LOOP DENOTES A CONSOLIDATING SHORTWAVE FEATURE ALONG THE CENTRAL TX COAST LIFTING NORTHEAST WITH…

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Latest Mesoscale Discussion includes Louisiana, Mississippi

(NOTE: THIS POST WILL BE CONTINUALLY UPDATED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH NEW DATA AS IT IS AVAILABLE) 12:33a CST UPDATE: Mesoscale Analysis details Latest model data shows a nose of Mixed-Layer CAPE values…

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WPC concerned about flash flooding for Mississippi

VALID 191456Z – 191811Z SUMMARY…ONGOING CONVECTION/CELL MERGERS WITHIN INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS THROUGH 18Z…WITH SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION…MID-MORNING RADAR MOSAIC…

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SPC Monitoring weekend storms in Southeast

As we look toward the weekend an area of low pressure, with a batch of cold air aloft will slide from New Mexico and west Texas across the southeast. It will open the door for…

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