12/31/20 9a update: Morning model guidance holding, forecast becoming more certain

There wasn’t much of a change between the overnight and mid morning data. That is good news. It means the model guidance is finally getting a good handle on things. Or it gave up. Ha!…

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12/31 early AM update: Severe weather potential remains for later today across Gulf Coast region

2020 going out with a bang, so to speak. Would you expect any less? Severe weather remains a possibility for later today across east Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle. It still looks…

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12/30 update: Gulf Coast faces severe risk NYE

Not much has changed regarding the potential for severe weather on New Year’s Eve. Instead, we are starting to get a better idea about how the severe weather threat will shake out as we are…

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New data gives more insight to NYE severe risk for Gulf Coast

As a professor, this is the type of weather event that I would probably use on a test. Because at first glance, and on paper, it looks like a guarantee for some severe weather. But…

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It’ll be a New Year’s Thunderstormin’ Eve for northern Gulf Coast

Now that we are getting to be about 72-96 hours out, data is starting to come into better agreement about the timeline and threats for the severe weather threat on New Year’s Eve for the…

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12/23/20 Quick Update: Overnight severe threat for South Mississippi

There is a bit too much info to pack into a facebook post, and my latest tweet leaves some room for elaboration… so I figured a blog update would have to suffice. There is still…

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Low-end severe threat for Gulf Coast Dec 23rd/24th

The first Day 1 SPC outlook is available for the Wednesday night / Thursday morning severe weahter threat. And the SPC bumped up the risk a level. Model data show that there may be a…

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Mr. Tornado – an American Experience film

PBS presented a fantastic documentary on Tetsuya Fujita – the man behind the Fujita scale. For those who are curious, “Ted” Fujita moved to the United States from Japan. And used his background in engineering…

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La Nina Watch posted: What it could mean for the Atlantic Hurricane Season and 2020-2021 Winter

That’s right, friends. While I will spend some time talking about La Niña and the hurricane Season, I also posted a “deep tease” about the upcoming winter. Two reasons. The first, I think most of…

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6/6/20 Tropical Storm Cristobal update: Still moving north, landfall Sunday night

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Tropical Storm Cristobal as it moves north toward the Louisiana coastline. The forecast landfall will occur Sunday afternoon or evening. It is predicted to make landfall as a…

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