8/25/21 Invest 99L forecast/model update

The National Hurricane Center designated the little area of disorganized storms in the Caribbean as Invest 99L. That allows the NHC to start running specialized tropical forecast models on the system. There is still a…

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8/24/21 South Mississippi Forecast update w/ tropical details

During the next few days, the overall pattern is going to persist. Temperatures will continue to run in the 90s with Heat Index values around 105. High pressure is still in control across parts of…

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Tropical Storm Fred Pt. 2 – It is back, and it is kidney bean shaped

A few things happened overnight with Fred. Frist off, Fred is a Tropical Strom again. And it is headed toward the Florida panhandle. Again. The center of Fred reformed under an explosion of convection well…

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8/14/21: Fred ain’t dead yet – Mississippi/Alabama in the Forecast Cone

The Tropical Storm formerly known as Fred couldn’t have taken a more difficult path to the Gulf of Mexico. After waltzing through the Caribbean like Sideshow Bob moves through a field of rakes, it decided…

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South Mississippi Forecast 8/12/21: Storms again today, with eyes on Fred

Another day, another round of showers and storms possible in the afternoon. Not much will be different today. It does look like storms won’t be quite as potent, but a few strong storms will be…

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8/11/21 7PM Tropical Storm Fred update

It is still out there. It is still getting beat up by Hispaniola. And I wouldn’t worry too much about it. Given the available data, the overall pattern atmospherically, and the timeline laid out by…

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NHC maintains ‘above-normal’ Hurricane Season prediction for 2021 season

The National Hurricane Center maintains the potential for an above-average Hurricane season. The NHC released the mid-season update today. “After a record-setting start, the Atlantic 2021 hurricane season does not show any signs of relenting…

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