8/25/20 Early AM Tropics update: Breaking down Laura’s path north

I wanted to take some time to lay out some scenarios for everyone as it relates to Laura’s path. While the path is going to determine the strength and vice-versa, and we can estimate some…

Read more of 8/25/20 Early AM Tropics update: Breaking down Laura’s path north

8/24/20 Early AM Tropics Update: Marco getting beat up, Laura cruising easy

Really, on any other year, it would be the opposite. Marco, moving through the central gulf would be “cruising easy” and Laura would be the one getting “beat up” by the mountains of Cuba. But…

Read more of 8/24/20 Early AM Tropics Update: Marco getting beat up, Laura cruising easy

Hurricane Marco continues northward while TS Laura forecast shifts again

As anticipated, Tropical Storm Marco continues to move north toward the central Gulf Coast. People in Louisiana and Mississippi will need to continue to monitor forecasts closely. Tropical Storm Laura, also somewhat anticipated, is now…

Read more of Hurricane Marco continues northward while TS Laura forecast shifts again

8/23/20 AM NHC UPDATE: TS Marco slides north, TS Laura churns through Caribbean

Before we dive into the noes from the National Hurricane Center, it is important to mention that as the data from the Hurricane Hunters continues to get ingested into the models, the forecasts will continue…

Read more of 8/23/20 AM NHC UPDATE: TS Marco slides north, TS Laura churns through Caribbean

NHC updates forecasts, shifts both forecasts toward central Gulf Coast

The 4pm update was released from the NHC a bit ago, and it shows a reasonably dramatic shift in the forecasts for both Marco and Laura. The changes are likely prompted by the current interaction…

Read more of NHC updates forecasts, shifts both forecasts toward central Gulf Coast

Hype-free: Two tropical storms headed into the Gulf – what we know, don’t know, can’t know, and want to know

As most of you guys know,I never claim to have all of the answers. But, I know there are a TON of questions floating around with these two storms and – with the reasonable rarity…

Read more of Hype-free: Two tropical storms headed into the Gulf – what we know, don’t know, can’t know, and want to know

Two Tropical Depressions aimed at United States expected to strengthen

The tropics continue to ramp up as Invest 97L has now organized itself enough to be designated a Tropical Depression. Just 12 hours ago Invest 98L did the same thing. The thought it that both…

Read more of Two Tropical Depressions aimed at United States expected to strengthen

Tropical activity continues to gain momentum with TD13 and Invest97L

This may be a pretty lengthy and detailed write up, so feel free to skim it for the parts you want. Or read the whole thing and be super informed! As the long-awaited Kelvin Wave…

Read more of Tropical activity continues to gain momentum with TD13 and Invest97L

Invest97L & Invest98L continue to organize, gain strength

There is still a lot we don’t know about what will happen with the two Invests that are floating around in the Atlantic. In this video I try to sort through some of the potential…

Read more of Invest97L & Invest98L continue to organize, gain strength