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This may be a pretty lengthy and detailed write up, so feel free to skim it for the parts you want. Or read the whole thing and be super informed! As the long-awaited Kelvin Wave…
Read more of Tropical activity continues to gain momentum with TD13 and Invest97L
There is still a lot we don’t know about what will happen with the two Invests that are floating around in the Atlantic. In this video I try to sort through some of the potential…
Read more of Invest97L & Invest98L continue to organize, gain strength
NASA – yeah, NASA – has a hand in improving hurricane forecasts every year. Not directly, as that is left to the smart meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center, but indirectly through access to new…
Read more of Ask NASA: Improving hurricane forecasts from space
Because: 2020. Am I right? This morning, NOAA released their update to the seasonal prediction for tropical activity in the Atlantic basin. The numbers aren’t “incredibly” higher, but the increase does mean there is a…
Read more of Both Colorado State & NOAA independently increase seasonal Hurricane numbers
Tropical Storm Isaias took a while to finally form, but it is now cruising right along and through parts of Hispaniola. You can see the brighter colors, indicating the more robust convection, blossoming nearer to…
Read more of Tropical Storm Isaias Hispaniola, toward Bahamas
The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center continues to shift the forecast cone toward the Gulf of Mexico. Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is – apparently – in no rush to fully develop. Though it…
Read more of PTC 9 / Isaias continues to organize, trek westward
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine. The storm is likely going to be named Isaias in the coming days. It isn’t forecast to be near Florida and the Bahamas until…
Read more of 7/28/20 Tropical Update – PTC9 / Isaias organizing, moving toward Puerto Rico
The National Hurricane Center has now designated “Invest 92L” as “Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.” The change in name will only be temporary. The NHC is trying to issue advisories for some of the islands as…
Read more of NHC issues advisories for PTC Nine, eventual Isaias, for Caribbean Islands
It is a good news, bad news situation. The good news is that Invest 92L is taking “longer” to get developed and organized. Originally in the 2-to-5 day window, Day Five would’ve been today. And…
Read more of Invest92L still getting organized, models uncertain
Not much has changed overnight, thankfully. There have been little tweaks to some of the forecasts, and the model data has come into better agreement in some places. But no drastic changes. The “biggest” change…
