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There are still a lot of uncertainties with with what is happening in the Tropics right now. A lot of the uncertainty surrounds the movement of Karen and how that may impact the weather in…
Read more of 9/24/19 PM Tropical Update – Jerry, Karen, and Lorenzo
There are a lot of unknowns with today’s Tropical Update. More than normal, honestly. Not so much in the three-day forecast. But once we look out beyond Day Three and into Thursday and into the…
Read more of 9/23/19 Tropical Update – Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo
Quite the active scene in the Tropics. Across parts of the eastern Pacific and northern Atlantic there are six named storms and three other areas of interest. Not a record (to my knowledge) but probably…
Read more of 9/18/19 10AM Tropics Update: Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, and three waves
And just like that, things have picked back up again in the Atlantic. There is a Category 2 Hurricane, Humberto. A newly-minted Tropical storm, Imelda and a Tropical Depression east of the Leeward Islands. From…
Read more of 9/17/19 – Tropics get active: Humberto, Imelda and TD10
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…23.7N 74.8W ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM SE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND ABOUT 310 MI…500 KM SE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW…
Read more of PM Tropical Update – Latest on Invest95L / PTC9 / Humberto
The model guidance for Invest 95L made a distinct shift overnight to the east. The above image may look like a bit of chicken-scratch, but what it shows is a push to the east in…
Read more of 9/12/19 Tropical Update – Overnight model track shift on Invest95L
The National Hurricane Center is tracking three different areas for potential tropical development. The closest to the United States is Invest 95L Cu rent model guidance suggests that Invest 95L will drift into the Gulf…
Read more of Invest95L drifts toward Gulf of Mexico, chances for tropical development increases
I don’t often get onto sub-seasonal oscillations on here for a handful of reasons… 1. I don’t know as much as I wished I did about them 2. In general, it doesn’t apply to everyday…
Read more of MJO / Kelvin Wave may increase Atlantic activity in coming weeks
The peak of Hurricane Season is coming – whether we like it or not. The peak of the Atlantic hurricane Season is on September 10th, and the Atlantic basin is reflecting that. Hurricane Dorian is…
Read more of Tropical Atlantic busy as peak of Hurricane Season approaches
