8/26/19 2AM update: Tropical Storm Dorian

As the overnight data continues to trickle in, not much has changed in the short term with Dorian. But as we look toward the Labor Day weekend, the overall pattern is starting to look a…

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8/25/19 7PM Update: Tropical Storm Dorian

Since the tropics have been reasonably quiet all August, this quick burst of activity has a lot of people’s attention. This increase in activity isn’t unusual. Now that we are getting closer to September and…

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TD5 now Tropical Storm Dorian, NHC forecast shows potential hurricane by Tuesday

Tropical Depression Five is now Tropical Storm Dorian. The storm continues to organize and strengthen east of the great & Lesser Antilles. Latest model data continues to show strengthening, but the model guidance is starting…

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Tropical Depression Five forms, NHC forecasts to become Hurricane

The “Little Wave that Could” is now a Tropical Depression in the open Atlantic Ocean. The system is well away from the mainland of the United States and isn’t anticipated to impact the US during…

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NOAA increases chance for above-average activity for the rest of Hurricane Season

NOAA released its mid-season review of the seasonal outlook for Hurricane Season this morning. The numbers have been revised, and increased, given the El Nino is starting to subside. Press release from the NOAA: NOAA…

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Invest96L got eaten today, but it’s not quite dead yet

Invest 96L continues to hold on to dear life. A lot like the guy who didn’t want to “go on the cart” in Monty Python, this thing is not quite dead yet. In fact, the…

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NHC bumps new Wave to 40-percent chance of development

The National Hurricane Center increased the chance of development for the latest African Wave to 40-percent Tuesday night. From the NHC: Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jul…

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Between Invest95L and the new Wave, and Erick and Flossie – stuff is active in the tropics

As the title says, things are getting more active in the Pacific and Atlantic basins. Let’s start in the Atlantic. In the Atlantic via GIPHY There are two areas of interest int he Atlantic. Invest…

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