Tropical Storm Bonnie Heads Over Nicaragua while Invest 96L Brings Heavy Rain to Atlantic Coast: Tropical Update – 7/2/22

The main feature in the tropics, Tropical Storm Bonnie, is heading towards the Pacific while the rest of the Atlantic is mostly quiet for now. Invest 95L off of the Gulf Coast moved inland. It…

Read more of Tropical Storm Bonnie Heads Over Nicaragua while Invest 96L Brings Heavy Rain to Atlantic Coast: Tropical Update – 7/2/22

After an active week in the tropics, the future looks quieter: Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 7/1/22

At this time of year in 2021, the North Atlantic was at five named tropical cyclones while, in 2020, the North Atlantic had already produced four named tropical cyclones. Comparing these two hyperactive seasons with…

Read more of After an active week in the tropics, the future looks quieter: Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 7/1/22

Tropics Still Active as June Comes to a Close: Tropical Update – 6/29/22

As we end June and go into July, the areas that we look towards for tropical development begin to expand. In addition to the Gulf of Mexico and off the coast of the Carolinas, tropical…

Read more of Tropics Still Active as June Comes to a Close: Tropical Update – 6/29/22

Invest 95L floating around in the Gulf means better shot for rain for the Gulf Coast: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

We have a newly minted “Invest” this morning: Invest 95L. This is the area of interest in the Gulf that model guidance is pretty set on spinning up into a tropical ‘something’ during the next…

Read more of Invest 95L floating around in the Gulf means better shot for rain for the Gulf Coast: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

Temperate conditions for now, but active weather on the horizon for next week: CONUS Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

A relatively zonal pattern across the CONUS will lead to more or less seasonal weather, with no huge swings or variations in the next few days. Looking at the short term 500 mb map, most…

Read more of Temperate conditions for now, but active weather on the horizon for next week: CONUS Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

Break from the heat is on the way with lots of rain: Coastal MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

Good Tuesday morning! Thanks to some tropical mischief that we’ve been discussing for some time now, the pattern is wet and mild. Today, we’re going to see some hot weather still lingering around, with temperatures…

Read more of Break from the heat is on the way with lots of rain: Coastal MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

6/27/22 430p Update: NHC tabs Invest 94L as Potential Tropical Cyclone Two

The National Hurricane Center has tagged the open wave in the Atlantic a “Potential Tropical Cyclone 2” which allows the NHC to issue watches / warnings on the system even though it isn’t an organized…

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6/26/22 345p Tropical Update: From the blob in the Gulf to Invest 94L and what is means for the Southern MS/AL/LA region

As far as the blob in the Gulf… Texas and Louisiana? Likely rain. Mississippi and Alabama? Probably not as much rain. Florida? Almost nothing. For Invest 94L it is probably a bit too early to…

Read more of 6/26/22 345p Tropical Update: From the blob in the Gulf to Invest 94L and what is means for the Southern MS/AL/LA region

Busy week ahead in the Tropics – Watching Invest 94L, the Gulf of Mexico, and more : Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 6/26/22

The tropics continue to heat up, as we continue to monitor some disturbances in the early stages of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Get buckled in, because this is gonna be an in-depth discussion for all…

Read more of Busy week ahead in the Tropics – Watching Invest 94L, the Gulf of Mexico, and more : Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 6/26/22

Ridge eases west, heat eases back, new piece of atmospheric spin enters Gulf — what could go wrong? Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/25/22

Happy Saturday, I think. We’ve got a few things happening in the Weather Department that may catch your attention this morning. From heat today (left), to a short-term pattern shift (middle) to the tropics becoming…

Read more of Ridge eases west, heat eases back, new piece of atmospheric spin enters Gulf — what could go wrong? Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/25/22