8/23/20 AM NHC UPDATE: TS Marco slides north, TS Laura churns through Caribbean

Before we dive into the noes from the National Hurricane Center, it is important to mention that as the data from the Hurricane Hunters continues to get ingested into the models, the forecasts will continue…

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NHC updates forecasts, shifts both forecasts toward central Gulf Coast

The 4pm update was released from the NHC a bit ago, and it shows a reasonably dramatic shift in the forecasts for both Marco and Laura. The changes are likely prompted by the current interaction…

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Hype-free: Two tropical storms headed into the Gulf – what we know, don’t know, can’t know, and want to know

As most of you guys know,I never claim to have all of the answers. But, I know there are a TON of questions floating around with these two storms and – with the reasonable rarity…

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Two Tropical Depressions aimed at United States expected to strengthen

The tropics continue to ramp up as Invest 97L has now organized itself enough to be designated a Tropical Depression. Just 12 hours ago Invest 98L did the same thing. The thought it that both…

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Tropical activity continues to gain momentum with TD13 and Invest97L

This may be a pretty lengthy and detailed write up, so feel free to skim it for the parts you want. Or read the whole thing and be super informed! As the long-awaited Kelvin Wave…

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Invest97L & Invest98L continue to organize, gain strength

There is still a lot we don’t know about what will happen with the two Invests that are floating around in the Atlantic. In this video I try to sort through some of the potential…

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Ask NASA: Improving hurricane forecasts from space

NASA – yeah, NASA – has a hand in improving hurricane forecasts every year. Not directly, as that is left to the smart meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center, but indirectly through access to new…

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Both Colorado State & NOAA independently increase seasonal Hurricane numbers

Because: 2020. Am I right? This morning, NOAA released their update to the seasonal prediction for tropical activity in the Atlantic basin. The numbers aren’t “incredibly” higher, but the increase does mean there is a…

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Tropical Storm Isaias Hispaniola, toward Bahamas

Tropical Storm Isaias took a while to finally form, but it is now cruising right along and through parts of Hispaniola. You can see the brighter colors, indicating the more robust convection, blossoming nearer to…

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