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SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…19.5N 86.0W ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…981 MB…28.97 INCHES FORECAST…
Read more of 4PM NHC Advisory: Hurricane Zeta still forecast to make landfall along LA/MS coast
We are still a bit too early in the game for specifics like, “XX town will see YY amount of rain” or “ZZ city will experience CC wind speed” but the forecast track and –…
I think I’m going to coin this the “L.I.I.” or “L2I” or “L-double-I” in the future. Landfall, Intensity and Impacts for/from Tropical Storm Zeta. This will be a breakdown of potentials and estimates for the…
Read more of Tropical Storm Zeta early AM estimates: Landfall, Intensity, Impacts
The title says it all. This will be a rather odd landfall-tropical-situation along the Gulf Coast. Because while the people who are in the direct path of this system will see the heavy rain, damaging…
Read more of Tropical Storm Zeta forecast cone shifts back west
Before I get started about the current tropical situation, take a look at this map from Sam Lillo. This is incredible. Here’s a map of the amount of time spent in the 5-day NHC forecast…
The National Hurricane Center is very confident that Invest 95L will organize into a Tropical Depression, or perhaps even a Tropical Storm, by later today. The model guidance is starting to come into better agreement.…
Read more of Invest95L organizing, likely to be designated later today (perhaps Zeta)
You may have heard me joke the other day that this thing was like that scene from the comedy, Austin Powers. Where, when falling out of a building he lands on a woman (who had…
Read more of Invest95L in Caribbean now slated to move toward Gulf
After four-consecutive “wins” at seasonal forecasting, last year’s Outlook was, in a word, not great. It felt like I missed nearly every place I tried to get right. Okay, it wasn’t that bad. I gave…
A La Nina Advisory has been issued by the Climate Prediction Center. This is an indication that La Nina conditions have been observed and are forecast to continue. Recall that a La Nina, in short,…
Since so many of you guys appreciated my efforts earlier, I wanted to offer a quick update for everyone. Here is another long list of towns int eh area along with a forecast for each…
Read more of 8PM Update: Breaking down Delta’s impacts on So. Mississippi towns
