Earlier today it looked like Parts of Texas, Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee and Kentucky would be battling isolated severe thunderstorms. Recently, the higher resolution computer weather models have leaned toward a far more isolated event.
Current conditions show that colder air continues to erode away in the lower levels of the atmosphere. This will inhibit the production of severe storms in those areas. In places where low level temps continue to hover in the 70s, keep an eye to the sky.
The main threats this evening will be gusty winds and one-inch hail with a slight risk for an isolated tornado.