Just a quick look at the forecast this morning shows a chance for showers and storms as we move toward New Year’s Eve, but right now, it looks like most of the storms should be out of here by the time everyone wants to do any celebrating. So far, model guidance suggests December 30th as the main day for storms.
And then, beyond New Year’s Day, it looks like another show for storms around the 3rd of January.
I’m not certain of the severe weather threat at this time with either round of storms. It looks like all of the right puzzle pieces will be in place from about 2,000ft off the ground and up, but we may be missing some pieces (mainly heat) down closer to the ground.
So we are in a bit of a holding pattern when it comes to assessing the severe weather threat until we can get a better handle on how warm it will be at the surface. We should get a better idea as we head through this afternoon and evening, and then an even better idea tomorrow and the day after, too.
DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Monday
Sunny. Highs around 50. South winds around 5 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Not as cold with lows in the lower 30s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable.
Tuesday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds around 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny. Not as cool with highs in the upper 60s.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy and not as cool. Near steady temperature in the lower 50s.
Thursday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday
Showers likely in the morning, then showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 70. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday Night
Showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Near steady temperature in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
New Years Day
Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
