Warm few days ahead, with a warmer May on deck, too: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 5/1/24

After an up-and-down April, we are back up to start May. And it looks like we may stay near or above normal for the entire month without a few days mixed in where we are below-normal.

Looking at the temperatures for April compared to normal, we had a few stretches of above normal temps with only a few dips below normal.

This isn’t a big surprise given how warm the Gulf of Mexico has been compared to normal. The Gulf surface waters have cooled a bit during the last few weeks, but the water below the surface is still well-above normal.

That will likely spell a pretty warm – and muggy – Summer for us.

Or, as explained by ChatGPT:

In the shorter term, the NWS and WPC are concerned about excessive heat as we get toward May 7 through May 11. After that point the pattern should shift slightly and help to ease us back to normal, but it may feel like near 100F on a few of those days when you factor in the humidity.

Back in March I wrote: “We may quickly springboard into a pretty hot June from a mild May. I also wonder if we see another prolonged severe weather season, too, that lasts into June.”

Instead, it looks like the warmer temperatures may shot up two weeks earlier than I thought back in March. And we may springboard into a hot mid-May with a sharp cutoff of severe weather.

Keep in mind, though, that when facing a potentially active hurricane season, one would rather face the scorch of the sun than the wrath of the rain.



REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST

Today: Areas of fog this morning. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of thunderstorms with a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.